Cohort Change Ratios and their Applications

Foreword.- Preface.- Chapter 1 Introduction.- Chapter 2 Basic Demographic Concepts.- Chapter 3 Sources of Demographic Information.- Chapter 4 Forecasting Population Size and Composition.- Chapter 5 Forecasting Using Modified Cohort Change Ratios.- Chapter 6 Forecasting Uncertainty.- Chapter 7 Forecasting School Enrollment Size and Composition.- Chapter 8 Forecasting Other Characteristics.- Chapter 9 Estimating Population Size and Composition.- Chapter 10 Estimating Historical Populations.- Chapter 11 Estimating Life Expectancy.- Chapter 12 Stable Population Theory.- Chapter 13 Decomposition of Cohort Change Ratios.- Chapter 14 Forecasting Incorporating Spatial Dependencies.- Chapter 15 The Utility of Cohort Change Ratios.- Chapter 16 Concluding Remarks.- Subject Index.



 

Jack Baker is a Senior Research Analyst with the HealthFitness Corporation, a Wellness and Health Promotion company based in Lake Forest, Illinois. He holds a Ph.D. in Anthropology from the University of New Mexico. In the applied demography world, Jack worked within the Federal State Cooperative Programs for Population Estimates and Projections for over a decade, served on the National Academies of Science's Panel to Review the 2010 Census (2009-2014) and its follow-up Standing Committee on Re-engineering the 2020 Census, and previously chaired the Population Association of America's Committee on Applied Demography. His research has spanned estimates and forecasts, with an emphasis on small-area models of population dynamics, and his work has appeared in various peer-reviewed journals. His current research focuses on the construction of integrated modelling frameworks spanning individual and population scales, with an emphasis on predictive analytics and forecasting applications inthe context of population health dynamics. His work makes use of methods from applied demography, statistical/machine learning, operations research, and biostatistics. 

David A. Swanson is Professor of Sociology at the University of California Riverside and an affiliate of the Demographic and Social Analysis Program at the University of California Irvine. He served as member of the U. S. Census Bureau's Scientific Advisory Committee for six years (2004-10) and chaired the group for two years (2008-10). In addition to many presentations, reports, and 30 non-refereed journal articles, Swanson has authored or co-authored over 90 refereed journal articles and 13 books (some as an editor or co-editor), mainly dealing with demography, especially methods for doing small area estimation and forecasting. Swanson has received more than $2.3 million in grants and contracts and has testified before the US Congress and state legislative bodies. He also has served as an expert witnessin